Unscarcity Notes

"Preamble Companion — The Crossroad"

"The opening context: why abundance is possible now, why our operating system is broken, and why we must choose."

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Preamble: The Crossroad — Companion Notes

The tools for abundance are here. The bottleneck is our operating system.

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Key data points

  • 1.1 million layoffs announced in first ten months of 2025 (65% increase from 2024)
  • 1X Neo robot: $499/month = $3/hour vs. minimum wage $7.25-15/hour
  • Tesla Optimus: Market in 2026 at $20-30K, targeting sub-$10K eventually
  • GitHub Copilot: 46% of code in files where active, 55% speed increase
  • Fusion breakeven: December 5, 2022 at NIF; Helion delivery to Microsoft by 2028
  • McKinsey projection: 30% of work hours automated by 2030

The two paths

  • Star Wars Path: Tech billionaires keep everything; abundance becomes artificial scarcity with subscriptions.
  • Star Trek Path (But Smarter): Network of free communities; basics as birthright; contribution earns opportunity.

Six crossroads ahead

  1. The Individual: What drives people when work is optional?
  2. The System: How do billions cooperate without chaos or tyranny?
  3. The Foundation: What principles can never be broken?
  4. The Citizen: Who counts as a person?
  5. The Evolution: Humans and AI—together or apart?
  6. The Transition: How do we switch systems without collapse?

Coming soon

  • Interactive timeline of the labor cliff by industry.
  • Fusion energy tracker and commercial deployment map.