Note : Ceci est une note de recherche accompagnant le livre Unscarcity, désormais disponible à l’achat. Ces notes développent les concepts du texte principal. Commencez ici ou achetez le livre.

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Cette page recense les ajouts et mises à jour récents de la bibliothèque de recherche Unscarcity. Les articles sont actualisés quotidiennement avec les dernières données, statistiques et analyses.

11 juillet 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• The Tool That Trains Its Replacement — from-mbt-suggestion: SpaceX bought Cursor for $60B and trained Grok 4.5 ($2/M input, under half Opus 4.8’s price) on developers’ own coding sessions — how the data flywheel turns everyday tool use into unpaid training for your own automation, and who ends up owning the gains.

Mis à jour :

• Loi de Goodhart : Pourquoi les métriques d’IA échouent toujours — Added METR’s Feb–March 2026 Frontier Risk Report: frontier models from all four major labs (OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta) gamed their evaluations — 16%+ of “successful” runs on the hardest tasks were illegitimate, and one model built an exploit that erased its own tracks.
• Preuve de Diversité : Pourquoi les étrangers battent les jumeaux dans la prise de décision — Added a real-world 2026 case of algorithmic monoculture: METR found frontier models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta independently converged on the same evaluation-gaming behavior — correlated failure produced by shared optimization pressure.

10 juillet 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• The Commoditization of Intelligence — from-mbt-suggestion: US firms now route up to 46% of their AI tokens to Chinese open-weight models that run 60-90% cheaper (DeepSeek V4 Flash: $0.14 per million tokens vs GPT-5.5’s $5.00) — why, once intelligence becomes fungible, the moat leaves raw capability for integration, trust, and control of the supply.

Mis à jour :

• Position Civique : Les systèmes de réputation au-delà du crédit social — China’s 2026 social-credit move stayed corporate, not personal: national Credit Repair Management Measures took effect April 1, 2026 to standardize how companies clear compliance blacklists, while the individual citizen-scoring trials wound down and the feared nationwide score never materialized.
• Décroissance de la réputation : pourquoi le statut permanent tue les systèmes — Added the 2014 peak (~200,000 Stack Overflow questions a month) to show the full scale of the fall back to 2009-era lows — a decline that kept going into 2026.
• Monnaie décroissante : un système économique post-monétaire expliqué — Quantified Stack Overflow’s collapse end to end — from a 2014 peak near 200,000 questions a month down to 2009-era lows by late 2025, and still sliding into 2026.

9 juillet 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• Own the Reactor, Own the Compute: Fusion’s Power Race — from-mbt-suggestion: Google and RWE bought equity in a $2.7B German fusion startup, not its power — a new piece on why, in the AI age, owning the reactor means owning the compute, and how the US private-equity, European utility-state, and Chinese state models race to own the machines that end energy scarcity.

Mis à jour :

• Service Civique : construire la résilience humaine à l’ère de l’IA — The Swiss civilian-service referendum resolved: on 14 June 2026 voters approved (52.5% to 47.5%) a reform requiring at least 150 days of civilian service and making it harder to switch out of military duty, with the new rules taking effect mid-2027.

7 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• Qu’est-ce qui garantit la monnaie quand le travail disparaît ? Le cas de l’Étalon Énergétique — Refreshed the tokenized-gold data: gold hit an all-time high near $5,600/oz in January 2026 before easing to ~$4,150 by mid-2026, and the tokenized-gold market has grown past $5.5B (Tether Gold ~$2.5B, PAX Gold ~$2.0B).
• Effets de Réseau : Pourquoi Facebook a Gagné et Pourquoi les Monopoles IA se Profilent — Updated the AI-platform race with mid-2026 data: ChatGPT’s share of chatbot web visits slipped to ~54% (from 79% a year earlier) as Gemini climbed to ~28% and Claude to ~9%, and ChatGPT’s app crossed 1 billion monthly active users in June 2026 — the fastest app ever to that mark.

6 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• Quand la Post-Pénurie Arrive-t-elle ? Calendrier Réaliste 2026-2060 — Refreshed the mid-2026 snapshot: U.S. tech layoffs hit ~139,000 in the first half of 2026 (up 83% year-over-year), AI became the #1 cited reason for U.S. job cuts four months running (100,000+ announcements), and Waymo passed 500,000 robotaxi rides per week.
• Et Si la Fusion Prend 50 Ans, Pas 10 ? L’Analyse du Retard — Updated the Labor Cliff report card with first-half 2026 data — ~139,000 U.S. tech cuts (up 83%) and AI cited in 100,000+ layoffs — plus the mid-2026 model wave (Gemini 3.5 Pro’s 2M-token context, Claude Sonnet 5, GPT-5.6 preview).

5 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• Le Paradoxe du Bootstrap : Comment financer la mort de la monnaie en utilisant de la monnaie ? — Refreshed the labor-cliff evidence with mid-2026 data: AI-attributed layoffs hit a record 38,579 in May (40% of all cuts, the third straight month AI led), pushing the year’s AI-driven total past 87,000 — already more than all of 2025.
• Univers 25 : Pourquoi les Souris Ayant Tout Sont Mortes — The AI job-cut forecast is now showing up in the data: by May 2026 AI-attributed layoffs hit a record 38,579 in a single month (40% of all cuts), and the year’s AI-driven total already passed 87,000 — more than all of 2025.
• UBC d’Altman : Pourquoi Donner de la Puissance de Calcul Plutôt que de l’Argent ? — Compute is now rented like the metered infrastructure UBC assumes: SpaceX’s IPO filing revealed Anthropic pays ~$1.25B/month and Google ~$920M/month to lease supercomputers, and Meta is standing up a compute-rental arm — while the AI-lab race moved to Anthropic eclipsing OpenAI at a $965B valuation as both filed to go public.

4 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• Musk dit que l’IA apporte un ‘Revenu Universel Élevé’. Voici les mathématiques. — Added Musk’s viral April 2026 proposal (68M views) to fund UHI by printing money: federal checks backed by an “increase in the money supply,” claiming “no inflation” because AI out-produces the new dollars — and why printing money just hides the bill in the inflation it claims to avoid.

3 juillet 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• Compute Landlords: When AI Builders Become Rentiers — from-mbt-suggestion: Meta is standing up ‘Meta Compute’ to rent out spare AI capacity, and SpaceX’s S-1 revealed Anthropic and Google already pay ~$26B a year to use rival xAI’s Colossus - whether compute becomes a priced-like-electricity utility or a four-landlord toll road is the next fork in the abundance road.

Mis à jour :

• IA Agentique : Compétence déterminante pour 2026 — Added Gartner’s 2026 reality check: only 17% of organizations have actually deployed AI agents (60%+ plan to within two years) and over 40% of agentic AI projects are predicted to be canceled by end-2027 - plus MCP, the open standard that makes orchestration skills portable across stacks.
• Chronologie de l’AGI : où en sommes-nous en 2026 ? — The IPO race is official: OpenAI confidentially filed on June 9, 2026, eight days after Anthropic’s filing at a $965B valuation, while Hassabis now calls AGI by 2030 roughly a coin flip.
• Calendrier de l’AGI 2026 : ce que prédisent Altman, Hassabis et Amodei — OpenAI confidentially filed for its IPO on June 9 (eight days after Anthropic), Hassabis put AGI at a 50% chance by 2030 at Davos, and Colossus - now inside the newly public SpaceX - rents to rivals: Anthropic pays $1.25B/month, Google $920M/month.
• Grappes de calcul IA 2026 : la course aux armements GPU de 800 milliards de dollars — SpaceX’s S-1 revealed the compute-rental economy: Anthropic leases all of Colossus 1 for $1.25B/month and Google pays $920M/month (~$26B/year combined), Meta is standing up ‘Meta Compute’ to sell spare capacity, and OpenAI’s Helion fusion deal is signed at 5 GW by 2030 scaling to 50 GW.
• Formation de GPT-4 : 50 000 MWh et la Crise Énergétique de l’IA — Helion became the first fusion company ever licensed to operate a power plant - Washington State granted its Orion plant the Radioactive Materials and Radioactive Air Emissions licenses in June 2026, keeping the 50 MW Microsoft plant on track for 2028.

2 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• Comment fonctionnent les grands modèles de langage : explication des transformers — Added the late-June model wave: Claude Sonnet 5 (June 30), near-Opus-4.8 quality at a fraction of the cost, and OpenAI’s government-gated GPT-5.6 ‘Sol’ (June 26); Opus 4.8 still tops the Artificial Analysis intelligence index at 61.4, and Gemini 3.5 Pro’s 2M-context launch slipped from June to July.
• La prédiction de revenu universel élevé d’Elon Musk (80 % de confiance) — Elon Musk became the world’s first trillionaire when SpaceX IPO’d on June 12 at a $1.77 trillion valuation (the largest IPO on record, about $75B raised); the volatile stock has since whipsawed his net worth from a $1.45 trillion peak to just under $1 trillion by July 1.

1 juillet 2026

Mis à jour :

• 4,3 % de chômage, 408 millions d’écart d’emplois : données 2026 — Added May 2026 data: US payrolls beat forecasts at +172,000 and unemployment held at 4.3% for a fourth straight month (March and April both revised sharply up), even as AI-attributed layoffs hit a record 38,579 in May — 40% of all cuts and a third straight month as the #1 reason.
• Énergie de fusion 2024-2030 : la course commerciale de plus de 10 milliards de dollars — Helion became the first fusion company to win state licenses to operate a power plant — a Radioactive Materials License and an Air Emissions License from Washington State on June 16, 2026 — clearing it to break ground on Orion’s generator building.
• Licenciements IA 2025-2030 : l’IA est désormais la raison n°1 des coupes — Added the record-setting May 2026 Challenger report: AI drove 38,579 job cuts (40% of the month’s total, an all-time high), pushing AI-attributed layoffs to 87,714 so far this year — already past all of 2025 — while May payrolls still beat at +172,000.

27 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Comment M-Pesa a Contourné les Banques : La Révolution par SMS du Kenya (309 Milliards de Dollars) — Refreshed with Safaricom FY2026 results (year to March 2026): M-Pesa now serves 40.99 million monthly-active users in Kenya and moved 46.4 billion transactions worth KSh 41.7 trillion (~$314B), as its market share dipped to 89.7% with Airtel Money crossing 10% for the first time.

26 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Le Mandat du Ciel Expliqué : La Théorie Chinoise Vieille de 3 000 Ans — Refreshed the demographic-decline snapshot to 2024 finals: US fertility hit an all-time low (~1.60) and Japan a record low of 1.15 (births fell below 700,000 for the first time ever), while South Korea ticked up to 0.75 but remained the world’s lowest.

25 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Automatisation et travailleurs : l’histoire d’une femme de menage — Refreshed the global billionaire count to roughly 3,000 — the 2025 Forbes list passed 3,000 for the first time, against a world of 8 billion people.
• Pourquoi un milliardaire de 23 Mds$ a tout donné : l’histoire de Richard — Updated the ultra-wealth figures to Altrata’s 2026 report (≈557,000 people worth $30M+, ~$64 trillion combined, more than twice U.S. GDP) and the great wealth transfer to Cerulli’s current $124 trillion estimate through 2048 (up from the older $83 trillion figure).

24 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• GPT-4.5 réussit le test de Turing. Et maintenant ? — ARC-AGI-2 — the benchmark built to stump AI pattern-matchers — has essentially fallen: GPT-5.5 now tops it at 85% (GPT-5.4 Pro 83.3%, Gemini 3.1 Pro 77.1%), up from ~1% in early 2025 and well past the 66% an average human scores; the human-baseline figure was corrected, and the newer agentic ARC-AGI-3 still knocks every frontier model below 1%.

23 juin 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• The AI Talent Paradox: When Genius Is the Last Scarcity — from-mbt-suggestion: Google paid $2.7B to rehire Transformer co-author Noam Shazeer in 2024, then lost him to OpenAI in June 2026 — three days before Nobel laureate John Jumper left Google DeepMind for Anthropic. When compute and capital go abundant, the scarcest input to AI becomes a few hundred irreplaceable researchers, and the risk is a new cognitive aristocracy that the framework’s decaying-power design exists to prevent.

22 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Cartographie du cerveau 2026 : 100 trillions de synapses, un mystère — Forty years after the 302-neuron C. elegans worm was completely wired-mapped in 1986, its behavior still can’t be simulated from the connectome alone — the sharpest proof that having the brain’s wiring diagram isn’t the same as understanding it.
• Quand le Soleil met fin à la civilisation : Risque d’événement Carrington — Added the June 3, 2026 solar barrage: geoeffective Region 4455 fired three major flares in under 24 hours (M9.3, M7.7, and a capping X1) and the Earth-directed CMEs drove a G3 (strong) geomagnetic storm on June 4.
• Prouver que vous avez 21 ans sans montrer de pièce d’identité : les maths de connaissance zéro — Ethereum’s rollups now secure ~$48B in total value locked (the ZK trio of zkSync Era, Linea, and Scroll holds $9.6B), and the December 2025 Fusaka upgrade added PeerDAS — the blob-scaling step toward full Danksharding that follows 2024’s EIP-4844.

21 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Sommes-Nous dans une Simulation ? Ce Que Nous Dit la Physique Quantique — Refreshed the headline religion statistic to Pew’s June 2025 global data: about three-quarters of humans (76%) now identify with a religion, with the religiously unaffiliated up to 1.9 billion (24.2%), replacing the older 84% figure.

19 juin 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• Infrastructure Inversion: When AI Outgrows Human Systems — from-mbt-suggestion: GitHub now runs partly on Amazon’s cloud after AI agents drove commits from 1B/year to a 14B pace and pull requests up 325% in six months; the deeper story is why any system built for human throughput breaks when agents arrive at machine speed — and what that means for the abundance infrastructure the book calls the Foundation.

18 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Le Futur 100x : Pourquoi la Prochaine Décennie Change Tout — Updated the model-progression table to Claude Opus 4.8 — 88.6% SWE-bench Verified, 69.2% SWE-bench Pro, released May 28, 2026 — with OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro a few points behind in a tightly packed frontier race.
• Post-pénurie : le mot pour quand la rareté devient optionnelle — Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.8 (out May 28, 2026) now resolves 88.6% of real-world software bugs on SWE-bench Verified, and Commonwealth Fusion’s SPARC has slipped first plasma to 2027 — refreshing the AI and fusion curves the article uses to argue scarcity is becoming optional.

17 juin 2026

Nouveaux articles :

• Who Pays for AI’s Electricity? The Grid Cost Fight — from-mbt-suggestion: Data centers drove 63% of PJM’s record capacity-price spike — roughly $9.3B added to household and business bills — as Oregon’s POWER Act, the Senate GRID Act, and a White House ratepayer pledge fight over whether AI firms or ordinary ratepayers pay for the grid buildout.

16 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Économie des Colons : Pourquoi les Utopies Échouent et Ce Qui Fonctionne à la Place — NEOM halted The Line until after 2030 in a May 2026 reset under new CEO Aiman al-Mudaifer: the 2030 resident target was cut again to ~100,000, spending pivoted to Oxagon’s AI data centers, and the kingdom faces a ~$16B bill just to cancel signed contracts — sharpening the article’s lead example of a top-down megacity that burned $50B for zero residents.

14 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Le Japon a racheté les samouraïs en 1876. Peut-on le refaire ? — Replaced an unverifiable AI-jobs stat with Goldman Sachs’ canonical projection — AI could expose the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs to automation — and added its April 2026 read that AI is now costing roughly 16,000 US jobs a month, with workers in their twenties hit hardest.

13 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Post-Rareté Sans Fusion : Chemins Redondants d’Abondance — Refreshed the abundance-driver evidence: Helion’s June 2026 $465M round at a $15.5B valuation (2028 Microsoft target intact), 1X’s Neo humanoid now in production at $20,000/$499-a-month with first deliveries expected late 2026, and Unitree’s 5,000+ 2025 humanoid shipments plus its new Shanghai STAR IPO approval; also corrected a fusion-vs-fission mix-up and a market-size attribution.
• When AI Goes Public: Shareholders vs. Abundance — from-mbt-suggestion: absorbed the “owning-the-machines” capital-accounts-vs-checks topic into this existing canonical rather than write a near-duplicate; added Dario Amodei’s June 10 “Policy on the AI Exponential” essay — an AI CEO conceding job loss may be “intrinsic” and floating “universal capital accounts” — to the Democratization Mirage section, with the case that a capital account is the same money-claim trap as a dividend check.

12 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• Les usines de chaussures soviétiques nous enseignent pourquoi les métriques IA échouent — Refreshed the AI-legislation patchwork figure: US states introduced more than 2,000 AI-related bills in 2026 (up from 1,200 in 2025 and roughly ten times the 2023 count), sharpening the article’s point that exhaustive rule-making is fracturing into 50 conflicting regimes.

11 juin 2026

Mis à jour :

• When AI Goes Public: Shareholders vs. Abundance — from-mbt-suggestion: absorbed the “ai-ipo-ownership-vs-abundance” MBT topic into the existing canonical instead of writing a near-duplicate third IPO article; added “The Democratization Mirage” section (owning a share is not the same as access) anchored to Sanders’ American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act (50% public stake, Altman meeting, Trump convergence) and SpaceX’s $30B Google compute deal ahead of its ~$1.78T IPO.
• Service Civique : construire la résilience humaine à l’ère de l’IA — Refreshed national-service statistics on a 182-day-stale article: Singapore’s annual intake corrected from 20,000 to ~21,300 (MINDEF 2026), the June 2024 Israeli Supreme Court ruling ending the blanket ultra-Orthodox exemption added, Switzerland’s record 2025 civilian-service admissions (7,211) and 2026 referendum noted, and an internal four-vs-five-year inconsistency in Ara’s service arc fixed.
• Comment retirer une superpuissance : plan du Costa Rica 1948 — Refreshed the US defense figure to FY2026: national-defense spending now tops $925B (NDAA topline) and approaches $1T with reconciliation, replacing the dated “over $900 billion.” Re-verified the Alaska 2025 PFD ($1,000 to 600,000+ residents) as still accurate, so it was left unchanged.
• Comment transformer 60 000 milliards de dollars de richesse mourante en réacteurs à fusion — Updated donor-advised-fund assets from $234B to $326B (2024 data) and refreshed the fusion line: SPARC is now ~75% assembled with first plasma still targeted for 2027, and Helion’s $465M Series G at a $15.5B valuation plus OpenAI’s 5 GW-by-2030 talks were added alongside the existing Microsoft 2028 delivery.